Barnaby Robson

Essays

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An iceberg seen half above and half below the waterline: a small sunlit tip in the sky, a vast glowing mass filling the sea beneath.

Productivity & Wisdom, Jun 2026

80/20: The Subconscious

Part 4 of the 80/20 series. The most extreme imbalance sits inside your own head, and almost nobody uses it on purpose.

A stone-step path winding down a green ridge on Hong Kong's Dragon's Back, hazy peaks and sea beyond.

Productivity & Wisdom, Jun 2026

80/20: For Life

Part 3 of the 80/20 series. The same imbalance runs through a single life: a fifth of your time produces most of what you achieve and enjoy.

Victoria Harbour at dusk under an amber sky, the ICC and Kowloon skyline lit against the water

Investing & Economics, Jun 2026

All That Glisters: The Gold the MPF Won’t Let You Hold

Data visuals on 10 years of HK’s MPF with narration from the great Bard.

A writer at a worn desk by the window pulling a page from a typewriter, crumpled drafts scattered on the floor.

Productivity & Wisdom, May 2026

Making it up, changing my mind, and learning to COPE with AI

AI’s effect on your job is still anyone’s guess. The practical response is getting good at directing it, and COPE gives you a framework for doing exactly that.

A worker in a hard hat facing steel framework on a construction site at dawn

Artificial intelligence, May 2026

We are all going to have to become engineers

What tinkering with agents at home taught me about deploying them at work

An empty highway running straight to a distant horizon under a vast pale dawn sky, open plains stretching away on either side.

Travel photography, Feb 2026

America – A Wider England

An eyewateringly large dinner, a business class seat that doesn’t recline, and a NASA engineer who changed history with a nine-page memo. First impressions of America at forty-five.

A cmux terminal workspace with split panes of running coding agents, a browser pane showing the cmux site and a merged GitHub pull request.

Artificial intelligence, Feb 2026

Strategies and Tools for Coping in the Agentic Age

The bottleneck used to be information overload. Now AI handles the mechanical work — and the real challenge is knowing what to pay attention to.

Two people talking beside a round moon-gate window in a wooden teahouse

Travel photography, Feb 2026

China – Singapore at Scale

Perfect highways, better consumer products than the West, and a surveillance state that makes it all feel slightly too clean. Notes on a country that builds while others deliberate.

The blue city of Jodhpur seen from a shaded arch of Mehrangarh Fort, indigo houses spilling across the valley toward distant hills.

Travel photography, Feb 2026

India – Not Bad

Ten days driving cross-country from Delhi to Udaipur. Traffic as a contact sport, English better than yours, and a country that oscillates between boundless energy and voluntary chaos.

A dark office facade at dusk with a single lit window — one bright room in the grid.

Business, Dec 2025

80/20: The Business

Part 2 of the 80/20 series focusses on corporate success.

A single ripe red apple hanging from one bare branch against a pale dawn sky.

Productivity & Wisdom, Dec 2025

80/20: The Unbalanced Universe

Part 1 of the 80/20 series. Why reality is unbalanced: a vital few causes produce most of the results.

A technician lifting a large green AI accelerator card from an open server in a lab, smaller unbranded accelerator boards waiting on the workbench.

Artificial intelligence, Dec 2025

The End of the Nvidia Tax?

AI’s cost base is beginning to shift. Gemini 3 and Anthropic’s move to TPUs show that state-of-the-art models no longer require Nvidia hardware.

What I love and hate about Crypto in 2025 (in Memes)

A meandering, self-serving reflection on the state of crypto in 2025 — from the 2017 ICO bubble through DeFi summer, FTX fraud, and the Black Friday 2025 crash. Part analysis, part therapy, all memes.

Barnaby Robson at a crypto event, smiling and holding a camera, with a crowd around him, in black and white.

Crypto, Nov 2025

A data-centre hall under construction at dawn, one worker standing small among receding rows of empty server-rack frames as low golden light shafts through the unfinished walls.

Artificial intelligence, Jul 2025

The Multi‑Trillion Dollar AI Compute Bet

Big tech are making a huge bet on AI Compute. Whether this pays off is the key investment question of 2025.

A customs officer inspecting an opened wooden shipping crate at a container port after sunrise, a rust-red container suspended from a crane behind.

Investing & Economics, Apr 2025

On Trump’s Tariffs

Economists and Businessmen invoke Ricardo – trade should flow where it’s cheapest. But look closer, and most countries don’t play by the free trade rules they advocate.

Chart showing LLM prompt test results, open source vs closed, Based to Woke.

Infographics, Feb 2025

Exploring Ideological Bias in AI Models

Infographic showing Ideologically generated response by LLMs to a simple text question.

A steel transmission pylon on an open ridge at blue hour, power lines receding into haze beneath a deep blue sky with one warm band of dusk light on the horizon.

Energy, Jan 2025

The Electricity Economy

Related Posts Investing like a professional

A lean greyhound at full stretch chasing a red mechanical lure around an empty dawn racing track, a metaphor for capital pursuing the next AI opportunity.

Artificial intelligence, Jan 2025

Following the money in AI

Learnings from five podcasts featuring Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella and others in early 2025

Illustration of the Three Grid Concept showing knowledge, power, and money as interconnected grids.

Futurism, Jan 2025

The Three Grid Concept

An outline of Micky Malka’s Three Grid Concept, with implications and visuals

A lone engineer in a hard hat, seen from behind, facing the cooling towers of a nuclear power station across misty ground at dawn.

Energy, Dec 2024

The Electricity Economy

Why Electricity is the New Battleground for Global Competitiveness

Woman wearing a vibrant flower crown with extracted colour palette.

Artificial intelligence, May 2024

Nailing brand colours in Midjourney (a follow-up post)

Walk through on how to generate specific colours (using srefs) in Midjourney – an AI image generating app.

The interior of a data centre — rows of dark server racks receding to a bright vanishing point down a reflective aisle.

Artificial intelligence, May 2024

AI Stack Economics

Exploring the AI value stack: From compute hardware to end-users, where will the greatest value accrue in this evolving landscape?

A trader raising the first shutter in a vast empty Victorian market hall at dawn, light falling from the roof glass.

Business, Apr 2024

The Future of Marketplaces

Unpacking the rise and fall of 2-sided marketplaces: A look at the network effects that fueled their growth—and the challenges unraveling their value in a post-free-money era.

Hands at a quiet desk holding a printed sheet of charts, several figures struck through in red ink, a red pen resting nearby.

Productivity & Wisdom, Oct 2023

Navigating inaccurate data & misleading narratives

Deciphering Truths: Navigating Through the Maze of Inaccurate Data and Misleading Narratives.

A lone climber pausing on a high ridge at first light, back to camera, above a soft sea of cloud filling the valley below.

Productivity & Wisdom, Sept 2023

State > Story > Strategy

How to master your mindset and get productive with the State > Story > Strategy mental model.

The Future of Progress

Thoughts on how to navigate the future with the Tech vs. Global Shift model: Embrace accelerating technology (Vertical Progress) while adapting to deglobalization (Horizontal Regression) to unlock growth opportunities.

A person wearing a modern VR headset, one hand raised to touch the unseen, in a quiet minimal interior with soft window light.

Futurism, Sept 2023

Three people walk a snowy forest path under sunlit pine trees.

Artificial intelligence, Aug 2023

Reimagining Literature: How AI is Transforming the Way We Visualise Books

My workflow for recreating scenes from books using MidJourney

Light-coloured classic car parked on a path, framed by pink blossom trees.

Creativity, May 2023

MidJourney – the unexpected challenge of colour (and how to overcome)

Mastering MidJourney Colors without HEX Codes – using Named Palettes to Nail Branded Visions.

A technician walking away down the single lit aisle of a powered-down cryptocurrency mining hall.

Crypto, Mar 2023

Crypto in Crisis

DCG and the crypto lending crisis

A person sitting calm and sharp at a desk in lamplight while a blur of papers and screens crowds the edges of the frame.

Productivity & Wisdom, Mar 2023

Strategies and tools for coping in the information age

Taming the Info Tsunami: Strategies, Tools, and AI-Powered Hacks I use to Conquer Overload and Spark Insights

Close view of cracked, fissured dry earth splitting into fragments, evoking unstable economic foundations.

Investing & Economics, Feb 2023

Global debt – walking on shaky ground

Global debt is at an all-time high, with governments, businesses, and households all facing increasing stresses due to higher interest rates.

The stone facade of a grand central bank at cold dawn, one commuter passing small beneath the columns, a thin band of sunrise caught in a high window.

Investing & Economics, Feb 2023

Monetary policy – Interest rates, higher for longer

Decoding Inflation Drivers, Fed Pivots, and the High-Rate Reckoning Reshaping Investments

An abandoned open-plan trading office at dusk, chairs left askew and papers scattered, one monitor still glowing amber against the fading city light.

Crypto, Jan 2023

The collapse of FTX – Thoughts and opinions…

Analysis of the background and what investors missed.

Lines of fresh green regrowth crossing a burned black field under low mist at first light.

Crypto, Oct 2022

Reasons to be cheerful – Crypto edition

Reasons to Be Cheerful despite the bear market in Crypto: Emerging Innovations in DeSo, PBDAs, Web3 Gaming, Big Tech Adoption, and NFTs Signal the Start of a New Cycle

An analyst writing an investment thesis by hand at a broad wooden desk beside a tall window, printed reports and a calculator to one side in soft daylight.

Investing & Economics, Oct 2022

Investing like a professional

This is an article documenting how I plan to add structure to my investing process.

An overhead view of a forecaster's desk in winter light, a hand drawing branching pencil paths across an open planner amid research pages.

Investing & Economics, Jan 2022

2022 Macro Investment predictions

Macro thesis on 2022 investment landscape

The title 'Axie Infinity' in blue on a cream cover, beside pencil sketches of the game's creatures.

Crypto, Aug 2021

Axie Infinity – Investment Analysis

Write-up on Axie Infinity, currently the world’s biggest P2E game. Written from an investment perspective.

A cyclist blurring past below a spiral staircase railing, black and white.

Graphics & Design, May 2021

Classic images which inspire me

A collection of classic images which influence my photography and inspire me to take photographs

Investment Landscape 2021

2021 Investment Landscape

An analyst seated at a broad desk before tall windows, an open ledger, the city skyline at dawn beyond.

Investing & Economics, Dec 2020

A lone masked figure passing the one glowing pharmacy cross on a shuttered street at dusk.

Investing & Economics, Feb 2020

COVID19 – Winners & Losers?

As the COVID-19 situation started to look ominous and the quantity of news on the topic reached overwhelming levels, I decided to mind-map thoughts on implications across each industry, and sub-sector. I then tried to link the sectors to large/prominent listed companies, so one could (seek to) quantitively track these ‘predictions’.

A figure at a rain-streaked window at dawn watching a thin break of golden light through grey cloud.

Investing & Economics, Feb 2020

C19 & finding silver linings

2019 will go down as the ‘worst of times’ for many in Hong Kong and 2020 feels like it has started as a ‘winter of despair’. COVID-19 couldn’t really have come at a more inopportune time. Outside Hong Kong and China it has been an extraordinary fortnight. It’s become evident to most people that the impacts of the virus will be global, with deep economic implications.

A stage light beam cutting through haze over The National, black and white.

Events & Experience, Feb 2020

The National @ Alexandra Palace, London 2013

The National Live in London 2013 – Images from the Alexandra Palace Gig

Close-up of the aperture ring on a legacy Nikon lens in warm light.

On photography, Aug 2016

Legacy Nikon Glass on micro-four-thirds, and a comparison to film

Nikon (G) – M4/3 lens mount In a fit of boredom I recently bought a Nikon (g) to M 4/3 adapter from a company called K&F concept, via this ebay seller for GBP 10: A brief intro to K&F mount adapters is available at the link below I’ve been using the mount with two Nikon […]

A colourful plated dish at Fair Warung Bale, Ubud.

Food & Drink, May 2016

Fair Warung Bale – My favourite Restaurant in Indonesia

I think the title says it all. We stayed in Ubud for four days and went to this restaurant every day. I’ve been going back there for 10 years + now (every time i go to Ubud). Address Jl. Sriwedari No. 6 | 100m Up From Main Road Ubud, Ubud 80571, Indonesia The food Not […]

Medan-style pork noodles and iced drinks on a bright blue table in Tangerang.

Food & Drink, Jan 2016

Jakarta eats – yummy pork medan noodles in Tangerang

Name: Bakmi Medan Kebon Jahe My kind of restaurant – one item on the menu (as pictured). Three size options – Small, Medium or Large. More info: Related Posts Local Tips: Bima Bagus – Affordable framing in Jakarta Cycling in Jakarta – a few thoughts Thinking of relocating to Jakarta? Expat moving advice. Related […]

A newly framed black-and-white print resting on a wooden table.

Living in Indonesia, Sept 2015

Local Tips: Bima Bagus – Affordable framing in Jakarta

I’d been looking to get some photos printed and framed for a while. I’d had two quotes for c. IDR 400k to frame a single A3 photo – black wooden frame and white 6cm mount. A friend at the fantastic Galeri Hadiprana in Kemang recommended Bima Bagus. Hadiprana use Bima Bagus for some of their […]

A lone cyclist on Jakarta's Sudirman boulevard during car-free day, skyscrapers behind.

Living in Indonesia, Feb 2015

Cycling in Jakarta – a few thoughts

Being recently inflicted by a bout of cycling-mad-itus, these were two of my top questions, on prepping for a move from London to Jakarta: 1) Is it at all possible to cycle in Jakarta (i.e. traffic, road conditions, etc.)? and do people? 2) Should I ship my road bike (given the expense and difficulty) or […]

Crowds on Sudirman boulevard during Jakarta car-free day, city towers behind.

Living in Indonesia, Jan 2015

Thinking of relocating to Jakarta? Expat moving advice.

Quick notes for expats thinking of relocating to Indonesia. Based on my experience in 2014

A row of white ceramic vases in the Galeri Pot workshop, Kemang Timur.

Living in Indonesia, Nov 2014

Galeri Pot in Kemang Timur | Home decor in Jakarta

beautiful lamps and great prices

A tree-lined avenue in soft light, shot on film.

Analog, Aug 2014

Adventures in Analog – 3rd batch (rolls 6 – 9)

After my childish earlier attempts with the Nikon FM3A and Pentax LX, i seem to be getting into the swing of things with film SLRs.

The long shadow of a horse and rider cast across a sunlit stubble field in Cyprus.

Trip reports, Jun 2014

6 days in Cyprus

Notes from 6 days in Cyprus in June 2014.

Photoessay: up in the air

All taken with the iphone 5 on route from Luxembourg to London City. Related Posts The Evolving Landscape in AI

Billowing cumulus cloud seen from the aircraft window, black and white.

Visual diaries, Jun 2014

Commuters descending into a London station as low sun bursts through the ironwork, black and white.

On photography, May 2014

Embracing the commute + photography on the go

For nine years often at the end of my commute i felt myself teetering on the edge of anger and rage – Delayed buses / packed tubes / cramped spaces / fume and sweat choked air / squeezed in / disagreeable odours / thoughtless people… True, there were some cool moments: But they were few […]

Two figures silhouetted at a riverside railing at dusk, shot on film.

Graphics & Design, Mar 2014

Adventures in Analog – 2nd batch (Rolls 3 – 6)

After the euphoria of getting my first two rolls of film back…the second batch has been a massive anti-climax. I’d previously shot with the Contax T2 and Ricoh GR1v – two high end film compact cameras. The films were developed by Snappy Snaps in Soho and I was really happy with the results. Since then i’d […]

Two friends at dusk beneath a distant tower, shot on film.

Visual diaries, Mar 2014

Days of being wild..

Nottingham University c. 2001. Happy memories.. Just had this film processed and scanned by mistake – Kodak Advantix – Can’t believe how well the film lasted…

Friends cooking together in a warm kitchen at night.

Visual diaries, Jan 2014

Friday evening in central London

Just some photos from a friday night in central london. If there’s no lens info they were taken with the Nokton 42.5mm f/0.95:

A road disappearing into thick morning fog between trees, shot on film.

Graphics & Design, Jan 2014

Adventures in Analog – 1st batch (rolls 1 – 2)

Experiments with film photography using a Contax T2 and Ricoh GR1v

A neon-lit night street shot wide open on the Voigtlander Nokton f0.95.

On photography, Jan 2014

Voigtlander Nokton 42.5mm f/0.95 – Micro four thirds lens – Low light samples

Low light samples from one of the fastest lenses on m4/3.

A woman looking out from a colonial tearoom window in Kuala Lumpur.

Trip reports, Dec 2013

Kuala Lumpur in a day

Local tips for a day or two in KL.

Lantern-lit gardens at night in Singapore.

Trip reports, Dec 2013

Singapore in a day

Spending a day or two in Singapore and wondering what to do? – this is for you!

An Olympus E-M1 camera body and lenses laid out on a white surface.

Photography, Dec 2013

E-M1 – Shooting Tips

Configuring and street shooting with the E-M1.

A guitarist bathed in green stage light at Alexandra Palace.

Visual diaries, Nov 2013

The National – Alexandra Palace

The National live at Alexandra Palace, 15 November 2013 — a photo diary from the floor: blue stage light, smoke, and the crowd in silhouette.

The Contax T2 and Ricoh GR1v film compacts standing side by side.

On photography, Sept 2013

Contax T2 v Ricoh GR1v… in pictures

Side by side images of the Contax T2 and Ricoh GR1v film camera. Two of the best film automatic fixed focal cameras.

Women in conical hats crossing Inle Lake by wooden boat, mountains behind.

On photography, Apr 2013

Olympus 75mm Field Test (On E-M5) – 2 weeks in Burma.

Mounted to the Olympus E-M5, the Olympus 75mm 1.8 is near photographic perfection

Myanmar – Trip Report.

Quick trip notes from Myanmar (2012).

The temples of Bagan rising through golden morning mist.

Trip reports, Jan 2013

A leg-rowing fisherman balancing on his boat on blue water at Inle Lake.

Visual diaries, Jan 2013

Taking a look back – my top 12 photographs of 2012

2012, the year that I fell in love with photography.

Aerial view of a lone boat on calm blue sea off the Sicilian coast.

Trip reports, Sept 2012

5 days in Sicily

A great break in Sicily, with stays in Palermo, Taormina and Syracuse

A raw egg yolk in a black bowl beside chopped tomatoes.

Recipes, Jun 2012

Fanqie Chao Dan (Tomatoes and fried Egg)

Cheap, delicious dish anyone can easily cook. Mother-in-law’s recipe.

Star anise held in an open palm above the stew pot.

Recipes, Apr 2012

Red cooked pork steak (Hong Shao Pai Gu)

Mother-in-law’s recipe for a cheap, simple and delicious pork dish. Yum!