Latest Essays

Signals, stories, and the forces shaping the world

  • China – Singapore at Scale

    China – Singapore at Scale

    Authoritarian capitalism at 1.4 billion people. Notes from a recent trip on infrastructure that shames Europe, consumer products that have overtaken the West, and a surveillance state that makes it all feel slightly too clean.

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  • India – Not Bad

    India – Not Bad

    Ten days driving cross-country from Delhi to Udaipur. Traffic as a contact sport, English better than yours, and a country that oscillates between boundless energy and voluntary chaos. On balance, not bad.

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  • The 80/20 Business

    The 80/20 Business

    Notes from Richard Koch’s ‘The 80/20 Principle’ on finding where you actually make money, focusing on the 20% of customers providing 80% of profit, and eliminating the rest.

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  • The Unbalanced Universe

    The Unbalanced Universe

    A strategic guide to the 80/20 Principle and the nature of unequal results. Visual notes from the book the 80/20 Principle by Richard Koch

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  • The End of the Nvidia Tax

    The End of the Nvidia Tax

    AI’s cost base is beginning to shift. Gemini 3 and Anthropic’s move to TPUs show that state-of-the-art models no longer require Nvidia hardware.

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  • What I love and hate about Crypto in 2025 (in Memes)

    What I love and hate about Crypto in 2025 (in Memes)

    Crypto Innovations, Narratives & Crashes (2008–2025)

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  • The Multi‑Trillion Dollar AI Compute Bet

    The Multi‑Trillion Dollar AI Compute Bet

    Big tech are making a huge bet on AI Compute. Whether this pays off is the key investment question of 2025.

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  • On Trump’s Tariffs

    On Trump’s Tariffs

    Economists and Businessmen invoke Ricardo – trade should flow where it’s cheapest. But look closer, and most countries don’t play by the free trade rules they advocate.

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  • Following the money in AI

    Following the money in AI

    Learnings from five podcasts featuring Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella and others in early 2025

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  • The Electricity Economy

    The Electricity Economy

    Why Electricity is the New Battleground for Global Competitiveness

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  • AI Stack Economics

    AI Stack Economics

    Exploring the AI value stack: From compute hardware to end-users, where will the greatest value accrue in this evolving landscape?

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  • The Future of Marketplaces

    The Future of Marketplaces

    Unpacking the rise and fall of 2-sided marketplaces: A look at the network effects that fueled their growth—and the challenges unraveling their value in a post-free-money era.

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  • The Star Principle & making better investment decisions

    The Star Principle & making better investment decisions

    Takeaways from the book the Star Principle by Richard Koch in which he shares the secrets of his success – and shows how you too can identify and enrich yourself from ‘Stars’.

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  • Navigating inaccurate data & misleading narratives

    Navigating inaccurate data & misleading narratives

    Deciphering Truths: Navigating Through the Maze of Inaccurate Data and Misleading Narratives.

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  • State > Story > Strategy

    State > Story > Strategy

    How to master your mindset and get productive with the State > Story > Strategy mental model.

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  • The Future of Progress

    The Future of Progress

    Thoughts on how to navigate the future with the Tech vs. Global Shift model: Embrace accelerating technology (Vertical Progress) while adapting to deglobalization (Horizontal Regression) to unlock growth opportunities.

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  • Strategies and tools for coping in the information age

    Strategies and tools for coping in the information age

    Taming the Info Tsunami: Strategies, Tools, and AI-Powered Hacks I use to Conquer Overload and Spark Insights

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  • Global debt – walking on shaky ground

    Global debt – walking on shaky ground

    Global debt is at an all-time high, with governments, businesses, and households all facing increasing stresses due to higher interest rates.

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  • Monetary policy – Interest rates, higher for longer

    Monetary policy – Interest rates, higher for longer

    Decoding Inflation Drivers, Fed Pivots, and the High-Rate Reckoning Reshaping Investments

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  • The collapse of FTX – Thoughts and opinions…

    The collapse of FTX – Thoughts and opinions…

    Analysis of the background and what investors missed.

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