Supply and Demand

Prices and quantities are set by the interaction of willingness to buy and willingness to sell. Shifts in either curve change the equilibrium; elasticities determine how much price vs volume moves.

Author

Classical and neoclassical economics (Smith, Marshall, Walras)



The basic market model: a downward-sloping demand curve and upward-sloping supply curve intersect at equilibrium price and quantity. Policy, technology, preferences, and constraints shift curves; elasticities govern sensitivity.

How it works


Demand – quantities buyers will purchase at each price. Shifters: income, preferences, substitutes/complements, expectations, population.
Elasticity (price): %ΔQ / %ΔP. High elasticity → volume moves more than price.
Cross-elasticity: response to other goods’ prices (subs/complements).

Supply – quantities sellers will offer at each price. Shifters: input costs, technology, capacity, regulation/taxes, expectations.
Elasticity: short run often inelastic (capacity fixed), long run more elastic (investment possible).

Equilibrium – intersection (P*, Q*). Surplus if P > P*, shortage if P < P*.
Incidence: who bears taxes/subsidies depends on relative elasticities.
Price controls: floors (surplus), ceilings (shortage) when binding.

Use-cases


Pricing and revenue – estimate own- and cross-elasticities; choose price moves vs volume goals.

Capacity & capex – gauge supply elasticity and lead times before committing investment.

Commercial diligence – test demand shifters, pass-through, and competitor supply responses.

Product & GTM – identify substitutes/complements; design bundles and versioning.

Policy & contracts – model tax, tariff, or rebate incidence; set escalation clauses.

Marketplace/platforms – balance two-sided supply and demand; manage surge/constraints.

Pitfalls & Cautions


Confusing shifts with movements – a price change moves along a curve; shifters move the curve.

Ignoring heterogeneity – elasticity differs by segment, channel, and time horizon.

Capacity & frictions – short-run supply is often kinked by bottlenecks and lead times.

Averages vs marginals – decisions ride on marginal effects, not historical averages.

Externalities & controls – taxes, quotas, or price caps change outcomes and incidence.

Linear comfort – relationships are often non-linear; watch for thresholds/tipping points.

Recent Mental Models

Click below to learn other mental models

  • The Idea Maze

    The Idea Maze

    Before building, map the space: the key forks, dead ends and dependencies—so you can choose a promising path and run smarter tests.

  • Thucydides Trap

    Thucydides Trap

    When a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, fear and miscalculation can tip competition into conflict unless incentives and guardrails are redesigned.

  • Zero to One

    Zero to One

    Aim for vertical progress—create something truly new (0 → 1), not just more of the same (1 → n). Win by building a monopoly on a focused niche and compounding from there.