Cost-Benefit Analysis

Plot initiatives by benefit vs cost to spot quick wins, staged bets and time-sinks.

Author

Managerial decision-making (simple cost–benefit prioritisation)



This is the lightweight, visual form of cost–benefit analysis. Instead of detailed NPV spreadsheets, you estimate benefit and effort/cost on consistent scales and place items on a 2×2 grid. It’s ideal for backlog grooming, roadmap picks and operational improvements where speed and clarity matter.

How it works


Axes

  • Y: Benefit / Reward – expected impact on the goal (revenue, risk reduction, time saved, customer value).
  • X: Cost / Effort – money, people, time, risk, complexity.

Quadrants

  • High benefit, low cost — Prioritise: quick wins and high-leverage moves.
  • High benefit, high cost — Consider: stage, prototype, or seek funding; de-risk before full commit.
  • Low benefit, low cost — Maybe: do only if dependencies are simple or as filler work.
  • Low benefit, high cost — Don’t do: decline or rethink.

Use-cases


Backlog grooming and sprint planning.

Portfolio and roadmap selection.

Ops improvements and process changes.

Compliance and risk mitigations triage.

Pitfalls & Cautions


Hand-wavy scales – define benefit and cost levels up front or estimates drift.

Optimism bias – inflate benefit, deflate effort; counter with ranges and a quick premortem.

One metric only – if benefits are mixed (revenue + risk), agree a composite or use separate grids.

Crowding the middle – force choices by limiting how many can sit in “Consider” or “Maybe”.

Never upgrading evidence – for big bets in “Consider”, follow up with a proper NPV/EV analysis.

Recent Mental Models

Click below to learn other mental models

  • The Idea Maze

    The Idea Maze

    Before building, map the space: the key forks, dead ends and dependencies—so you can choose a promising path and run smarter tests.

  • Thucydides Trap

    Thucydides Trap

    When a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, fear and miscalculation can tip competition into conflict unless incentives and guardrails are redesigned.

  • Zero to One

    Zero to One

    Aim for vertical progress—create something truly new (0 → 1), not just more of the same (1 → n). Win by building a monopoly on a focused niche and compounding from there.